Ratings 10/21/06  
Ratings (10/21)

After a week off to travel abroad, I'm back with more ratings. I was pleased to find Monday Night Football on the TV in a pub in London, until I noticed that the ball was unusually round. It's interesting that they use that name, although they don't seem to have figured out the whole Bocephus thang yet.

My ratings are unusually close to the BCS ratings right now. Looking at the top 12 (now why would I stop at 12?), if you swap out LSU for Notre Dame we agree. Maybe more importantly, we have the same top 3. I have West Virginia underrated and Cal overrated compared to the official ratings. It will be interesting to see who is right on those two.

There doesn't seem to be as much parity as last year. Seven unbeatens are balanced by four winless teams. Among the unbeatens, Michigan and Ohio State will face off, the three Big East teams will start playing each other next week, the boys at Boise are unbeaten again, and Southern Cal has losable games left with Oregon, Cal, Notre Dame and UCLA. A non-controversial outcome would have unbeaten SC against the Ohio State-Michigan winner. If SC loses, then a number of arguments ensue, the most interesting one being a possibility of an unbeaten Big East team or a one-loss SEC team getting the other slot. Among the winless teams, Duke has Vandy and UNC left, Temple has Bowling Green this week, Florida International has a fighting chance against La-Monroe and Florida Atlantic, and Stanford has a tree as a mascot.

There are, of course, some surprises this year. Florida State is in last place in their division, but in this poll still outranks Miami. The wheels have fallen off at Fresno State (#98 here), Stanford (#106) and Toledo (#110). Wake Forest is already bowl eligible, and in fact still has a shot at a BCS slot. And Louisiana - Lafayette is ranked one slot higher than Purdue (which is interesting because, you see, Purdue is located in West Lafayette, Indiana; sorry, I'm still jet-lagged).

This is not the best week for big games. If you live in ACC country, there are a couple of good ones, but otherwise there aren't very many intriguing match-ups. The following picks are straight from the ratings with 4 points added for home field.

Clemson over Virginia Tech by 5 (Beamer Ball could work against the special ed teams at Clemson)
Georgia Tech over Miami by 10 (if the Hokies lose, this could be for the Coastal title)
Virginia over NC State by 1 (no bowl scouts, but many out-of-work coaches in attendance)
Penn State over Purdue by 4 (both teams are still in the bowl hunt)
Notre Dame over Navy by 7 (the football version of Clemson at UNC in basketball)
Missouri over Oklahoma by 4 (important game for Mizzou's Big 12 North title chances)
Texas over Texas Tech by 11 (not the best Red Raider bunch, but they can still pass.)
Florida over Georgia by 17 (Dawg fans may want to drink early and often at the Cocktail Party)
Tennessee over South Carolina by 9 (I gave the Chickens 4 for home field, how many for Spurrier?)

1 Southern Cal 67.77
2 Ohio State 66.57
3 Michigan 65.56
4 Florida 64.25
5 California 62.50
6 Auburn 60.96
7 Texas 60.43
8 LSU 60.27
9 Tennessee 60.16
10 Louisville 59.91
11 West Virginia 58.48
12 Clemson 57.90
13 Boise St 57.90
14 Rutgers 57.44
15 Notre Dame 57.02
16 Arkansas 55.78
17 Boston College 55.49
18 Washington St 54.62
19 Oregon 54.54
20 Oklahoma 53.98
21 Wisconsin 53.94
22 Missouri 53.84
23 Nebraska 53.81
24 Texas A&M 52.41
25 Pittsburgh 51.11
26 BYU 50.91
27 Tulsa 49.97
28 Georgia Tech 49.97
29 Virginia Tech 49.07
30 Oregon St 48.90
31 Alabama 48.46
32 Iowa 48.22
33 UCLA 47.95
34 Penn State 47.94
35 Wake Forest 47.82
36 Washington 47.80
37 Georgia 47.36
38 S Carolina 47.26
39 Arizona St 46.57
40 Hawaii 46.56
41 Florida State 46.04
42 Navy 45.63
43 TCU 45.01
44 Texas Tech 44.87
45 Michigan St 44.62
46 Southern Miss 44.26
47 Houston 43.79
48 Oklahoma St 43.68
49 Miami F 43.62
50 Maryland 43.21
51 Cincinnati 42.68
52 Kentucky 42.45
53 Central Michigan 41.76
54 Air Force 41.74
55 Wyoming 41.23
56 Minnesota 41.01
57 Ohio 40.94
58 Kansas State 40.82
59 Syracuse 40.79
60 Baylor 40.37
61 Utah 40.09
62 Arizona 40.06
63 La-Lafayette 39.89
64 Purdue 39.84
65 S. Florida 39.52
66 Vanderbilt 39.20
67 NC State 39.16
68 West.Michigan 38.98
69 East Carolina 38.44
70 UConn 37.74
71 Nevada 37.69
72 Indiana 37.30
73 UTEP 37.24
74 Kent State 37.24
75 Middle Tenn 36.74
76 Northern Illinois 36.44
77 Virginia 36.01
78 San Jose 35.53
79 Miss St 35.15
80 New Mexico 35.04
81 Idaho 35.02
82 Kansas 34.92
83 Colorado St 34.74
84 Rice 34.42
85 Army 34.21
86 SMU 34.17
87 Arkansas St 34.13
88 Akron 34.13
89 Iowa State 34.12
90 Ole Miss 34.11
91 Bowling Green 33.76
92 Illinois 33.61
93 UAB 32.85
94 Tulane 32.46
95 Colorado 31.37
96 Marshall 31.27
97 New Mexico St 30.71
98 Fresno St 30.51
99 C. Florida 30.40
100 Troy 30.21
101 La Tech 29.06
102 San Diego St 28.84
103 UNC 27.25
104 Memphis 26.35
105 North Texas 26.18
106 Stanford 26.09
107 Northwestern 25.64
108 Ball State 25.32
109 Florida Atlantic 25.27
110 Toledo 24.96
111 La-Monroe 23.79
112 UNLV 22.27
113 Utah State 21.97
114 Miami O 21.93
115 Duke 21.86
116 Florida Int. 20.51
117 East.Michigan 20.39
118 Buffalo 17.89
119 Temple 15.07