Ratings 11/11/06  
Ratings (11/11)

After a week off, the computer still can't get it right. Of course, "right" is such an ambiguous phrase, and not even all that popular based on the midterm elections. Still, how can anyone argue with Ohio State / Michigan as 1/2? Well, my computer can, but we'll get to that soon enough. The Buckeyes and Wolverines make such a nice pair, we don't even have to decide who's #1 because they'll play Saturday and decide it.

The arguments start after the game, when we need a #2. Is it "fair" that Florida got jumped by Southern Cal? How high should Rutgers be? One discussion on TV Sunday was concluded with the disgusted comment that it doesn't matter anyway because a machine is deciding it. Well, actually, 2/3 of the BCS is the human voters, and it's the experts that refuse to give Rutgers a chance. The computers have the Knights #2! Here's my guess: if (a big if) Southern Cal beats Cal on Saturday, the winner of the Notre Dame / SC game gets the second slot. Not that I'm a Gatah Hatah. Southern Cal does have by far the toughest schedule in the country, and it's common knowledge that Notre Dame's schedule is always strong (for instance, they have Army this week).

By now, you've probably scrolled down and seen Southern Cal #1. So, just by the record, that's one reason for SC to jump Florida. I'd love to have Michigan #3, just like I'd love to have Rutgers above Louisville and I'd love to drop LSU a few slots. So, why does my computer have Rutgers #7 when the BCS computers have them #2? The main reason is that my system takes into account wins, losses and points for and against, but points are outlawed on BCS computer systems. If you modify my system to only use wins and losses, you get Rutgers #4. You also get Southern Cal #1, Florida #2, then Michigan, Rutgers, Notre Dame, Louisville and finally Ohio State at #7. Just for comparison, if you only use points in my system you get a top 5 of LSU (!), Ohio State, Southern Cal, Louisville and Texas, with Rutgers #11 and Michigan #12. (And Clemson #14; I knew you'd want to know. Actually, it is interesting that, just like the BCS, my computer has the ACC ranked between #20 and #25.) After a weekend of upsets and near upsets, maybe it's fitting that my system is confused.

This is Rivalry Week, Part 1, and no rivalry is hotter than Ohio State / Michigan. It will be hard for the losers; not only is their season ruined, but they failed to ruin the other team's season! But let's not forget the Old Oaken Bucket (Indiana/Purdue), the Land Grant Trophy (Penn State/Michigan State), the Floyd of Rosedale (Iowa/Minnesota), the Iron Bowl (Auburn/Alabama), the Sunflower Showdown (Kansas/KState) and the Apple Cup (Washington/WState). Other games have conference titles at stake and bowl implications. The following picks are straight from the ratings with 4 points added for home field.

Ohio State over Michigan by 6 (Championship game, Big 10 title, Heisman all on the line)
Southern Cal over California by 9 (the Bears stumbled last week; can anybody win at the Coliseum?)
Wake Forest over Virginia Tech by 2 (the Deacs seem to get better every game, but this is a tough one)
Miami over Virginia by 2 (the Canes need this to be bowl eligible, how odd is that?)
Boston College over Maryland by 7 (the first of an ACC round-robin for the Atlantic title)
Minnesota over Iowa by 4 (the Hawkeyes are tough when the pig is on the line)
Rutgers over Cincinnati by 12 (classic sucker game for Cinderella, can they keep chopping wood?)
Auburn over Alabama by 6 (maybe Steely Dan should reverse the lyrics to "Deacon Blues")
Arkansas over Mississippi State by 16 (a win puts the Hogs in the SEC title game)
East Carolina and Rice even (a win puts the Pirates in the C-USA championship game; who knew?)
South Carolina over Middle Tennessee by 9 (not the cupcake that the Ol Ball Coach wanted)
Kansas State over Kansas by 3 (not many sunflowers growing near the Kansas coach)

1 Southern Cal 63.94
2 Ohio State 62.16
3 Florida 61.25
4 Louisville 60.86
5 LSU 60.72
6 Michigan 60.18
7 Rutgers 59.07
8 California 58.49
9 West Virginia 58.31
10 Texas 57.35
11 Notre Dame 56.86
12 Arkansas 56.33
13 Oklahoma 55.60
14 Auburn 55.33
15 Tennessee 55.30
16 Boise St 55.29
17 Wisconsin 53.61
18 Oregon 53.48
19 Nebraska 53.37
20 Clemson 53.03
21 BYU 52.59
22 Virginia Tech 52.21
23 Boston College 51.06
24 Georgia Tech 51.00
25 Wake Forest 50.56
26 Oregon St 50.31
27 Missouri 50.19
28 Hawaii 49.22
29 Texas A&M 49.18
30 Washington St 48.92
31 Arizona St 48.10
32 UCLA 48.03
33 Georgia 47.96
34 Maryland 47.90
35 Oklahoma St 47.74
36 Penn State 47.22
37 S Carolina 46.32
38 Kentucky 46.22
39 Houston 46.01
40 Arizona 45.67
41 Pittsburgh 45.63
42 Alabama 45.08
43 TCU 44.96
44 Tulsa 44.90
45 Kansas State 44.87
46 Navy 44.68
47 Texas Tech 44.47
48 S. Florida 44.05
49 Florida State 43.82
50 Cincinnati 42.88
51 Southern Miss 42.83
52 Nevada 42.65
53 Washington 42.54
54 Iowa 42.48
55 Minnesota 42.13
56 Central Michigan 41.71
57 Miami F 41.65
58 Middle Tenn 41.30
59 East Carolina 41.00
60 Purdue 40.76
61 UConn 40.47
62 Utah 39.84
63 Air Force 39.69
64 Ohio 39.44
65 San Jose 38.79
66 Vanderbilt 38.70
67 Kansas 38.36
68 Rice 36.98
69 Michigan St 36.88
70 NC State 36.62
71 Miss St 36.47
72 Indiana 36.28
73 Wyoming 36.24
74 Syracuse 36.16
75 West.Michigan 36.05
76 Virginia 35.65
77 UTEP 35.53
78 Baylor 35.14
79 Ole Miss 35.01
80 Troy 34.71
81 SMU 34.48
82 New Mexico 33.70
83 Marshall 33.02
84 Northern Illinois 32.83
85 Illinois 32.73
86 La-Lafayette 32.23
87 Colorado St 31.69
88 Fresno St 31.58
89 Akron 31.57
90 Colorado 31.09
91 Stanford 30.78
92 UAB 30.71
93 Tulane 30.50
94 Northwestern 30.49
95 UNC 30.21
96 Kent State 30.20
97 C. Florida 29.69
98 Iowa State 28.84
99 Arkansas St 28.71
100 Idaho 28.49
101 Army 28.42
102 Toledo 27.80
103 Ball State 27.61
104 Bowling Green 27.25
105 La-Monroe 27.17
106 San Diego St 26.95
107 Florida Atlantic 26.81
108 New Mexico St 26.56
109 La Tech 25.44
110 North Texas 24.92
111 Memphis 22.52
112 Duke 22.42
113 UNLV 21.08
114 Miami O 20.30
115 East.Michigan 20.01
116 Buffalo 20.01
117 Utah State 19.68
118 Florida Int. 18.05
119 Temple 17.31