Ratings 11/24/07
I have been both happy and unhappy with this week's ratings. On the one hand, it's kind of cool that the computer picks out West Virginia and Missouri as 1-2. In such a wild season, the computer could have disagreed thoroughly with the BCS ratings. On the other hand, I was hoping that the computer would pick an Oklahoma "upset" of Missouri, a result that would send Ohio State to the championship game ... probably. Of course, I can't get both of these. For the program to predict an Oklahoma win, it must rate Oklahoma higher (unless points are added for home field, which doesn't exactly exist in a championship game). And is it really an upset if everybody picks Oklahoma?
So, how is it that Miami is in the MAC championship? Their conference record was 5-2, putting them "ahead" of Bowling Green at 6-2. It's odd that a real conference would have unbalanced schedules. I guess once you allow that, you just have to make up some rules. And it is refreshing to see a Miami in a championship game.
The 1-AA playoffs are down to Panthers, Blue Hens, Salukis, Minutemen, Mountaineers, Eagles, Terriers and Spiders. Oh, my. Enjoy the games!
The following predictions are straight from the ratings, with 4 points added for home field.
ACC: Virginia Tech over Boston College by 1 (might be a rematch worth watching)
Big 12: Missouri over Oklahoma by 2 (another rematch; Buckeyes say Go, Sooners!)
SEC: LSU over Tennessee by 7 (if the Vols can get the Tigers into the third OT, they're golden)
CUSA: Central Florida over Tulsa by 3 (probably a rematch not worth watching)
MAC: Central Michigan over Miami by 3 (not a rematch, probably not worth watching)
Navy over Army by 11 (the best rivalry in college sports)
West Virginia over Pittsburgh by 27 (probably more woodshed than backyard brawl)
USC over UCLA by 12 (another Rose Bowl for the Trojans if they win)
Hawaii over Washington by 8 (an unbeaten season and then over the rainbow to the Sugar Bowl?)
1-AA Playoffs:
Northern Iowa over Delaware by 11
Southern Illinois over Massachusets by 3
Appalachian State over Eastern Washington by 15
Wofford over Richmond by 1
1 | West Virginia | 94.60 |
2 | Missouri | 93.07 |
3 | LSU | 92.80 |
4 | Florida | 92.72 |
5 | Ohio State | 92.12 |
6 | Oklahoma | 90.91 |
7 | Kansas | 90.54 |
8 | Georgia | 90.04 |
9 | Arizona St | 89.69 |
10 | Oregon | 89.56 |
11 | Southern Cal | 89.39 |
12 | Virginia Tech | 89.09 |
13 | S. Florida | 88.61 |
14 | Boston College | 88.17 |
15 | Clemson | 88.16 |
16 | Tennessee | 85.90 |
17 | Illinois | 85.21 |
18 | Cincinnati | 85.18 |
19 | BYU | 84.51 |
20 | Arkansas | 83.37 |
21 | Texas | 83.36 |
22 | Auburn | 83.24 |
23 | Michigan | 83.23 |
24 | Penn State | 83.03 |
25 | Kentucky | 82.85 |
26 | UConn | 82.64 |
27 | Virginia | 82.48 |
28 | Wisconsin | 82.29 |
29 | Oregon St | 81.94 |
30 | Wake Forest | 81.68 |
31 | California | 81.67 |
32 | Rutgers | 81.17 |
33 | UCLA | 80.84 |
34 | Boise St | 80.75 |
35 | S Carolina | 80.41 |
36 | Florida State | 80.20 |
37 | Texas Tech | 79.99 |
38 | Utah | 79.87 |
39 | Hawaii | 79.59 |
40 | Michigan St | 79.51 |
41 | Maryland | 79.37 |
42 | Texas A&M | 79.36 |
43 | Oklahoma St | 78.94 |
44 | Troy | 78.85 |
45 | Air Force | 78.83 |
46 | Georgia Tech | 78.69 |
47 | Alabama | 78.47 |
48 | Purdue | 77.51 |
49 | N Iowa | 77.29 |
50 | Arizona | 77.09 |
51 | Colorado | 76.96 |
52 | Miss St | 76.66 |
53 | C. Florida | 76.29 |
54 | Vanderbilt | 76.06 |
55 | Washington | 75.83 |
56 | Nebraska | 75.32 |
57 | Appalachian | 75.23 |
58 | TCU | 74.85 |
59 | Kansas State | 74.72 |
60 | Louisville | 74.69 |
61 | Indiana | 73.92 |
62 | Fresno St | 73.32 |
63 | New Mexico | 73.25 |
64 | UMass | 73.23 |
65 | Tulsa | 73.15 |
66 | Washington St | 73.14 |
67 | NC State | 72.92 |
68 | Richmond | 72.44 |
69 | S Illinois | 72.00 |
70 | UNC | 71.84 |
71 | Iowa | 71.57 |
72 | Navy | 71.47 |
73 | Miami F | 71.30 |
74 | Ball State | 71.26 |
75 | East Carolina | 71.21 |
76 | Pittsburgh | 70.89 |
77 | N Dakota St | 70.68 |
78 | Bowling Green | 70.41 |
79 | Delaware | 69.91 |
80 | Northwestern | 69.90 |
81 | Wofford | 69.72 |
82 | Stanford | 68.86 |
83 | Ole Miss | 68.72 |
84 | JMU | 68.50 |
85 | Central Michigan | 68.42 |
86 | Florida Atlantic | 68.08 |
87 | Houston | 67.68 |
88 | Notre Dame | 67.51 |
89 | Wyoming | 67.45 |
90 | Southern Miss | 66.95 |
91 | Elon | 66.95 |
92 | Villanova | 66.61 |
93 | Iowa State | 66.46 |
94 | Montana | 65.95 |
95 | Ga South | 65.78 |
96 | Youngstown | 65.76 |
97 | S Dakota St | 65.75 |
98 | La-Monroe | 65.74 |
99 | San Diego St | 65.54 |
100 | Miami O | 65.50 |
101 | McNeese St | 65.40 |
102 | New Hampshire | 64.90 |
103 | Colorado St | 64.90 |
104 | La Tech | 64.50 |
105 | Middle Tenn | 64.42 |
106 | West.Michigan | 64.33 |
107 | Citadel | 63.98 |
108 | E.Wash. | 63.79 |
109 | Nevada | 63.75 |
110 | Ohio | 63.60 |
111 | Buffalo | 63.53 |
112 | Furman | 63.40 |
113 | Toledo | 63.18 |
114 | Hofstra | 63.15 |
115 | Syracuse | 62.92 |
116 | West.Kentucky | 62.62 |
117 | Yale | 62.32 |
118 | Memphis | 62.26 |
119 | Arkansas St | 62.17 |
120 | San Jose | 62.02 |
121 | Duke | 61.81 |
122 | Minnesota | 61.70 |
123 | Akron | 61.26 |
124 | W Illinois | 61.12 |
125 | Baylor | 60.97 |
126 | Army | 60.73 |
127 | Harvard | 60.41 |
128 | UNLV | 60.38 |
129 | Marshall | 60.23 |
130 | Holy Cross | 59.67 |
131 | East.Michigan | 59.18 |
132 | E Kentucky | 58.55 |
133 | Temple | 58.53 |
134 | Cal Poly | 58.11 |
135 | Liberty | 58.03 |
136 | Kent State | 57.76 |
137 | UTEP | 56.97 |
138 | La-Lafayette | 56.97 |
139 | Tulane | 56.75 |
140 | Wm & Mary | 56.43 |
141 | Grambling | 56.39 |
142 | Utah State | 55.69 |
143 | Missouri St | 55.66 |
144 | Delaware St | 55.60 |
145 | Illinois St | 55.56 |
146 | SC State | 55.13 |
147 | Sam Houston | 55.13 |
148 | Colgate | 55.00 |
149 | UC Davis | 54.78 |
150 | N Arizona | 54.18 |
151 | Northeastern | 54.15 |
152 | Dayton | 54.13 |
153 | New Mexico St | 53.90 |
154 | Central Ark | 53.58 |
155 | Rice | 53.53 |
156 | Fordham | 53.53 |
157 | Albany | 53.48 |
158 | Chattanooga | 53.35 |
159 | Northern Illinois | 53.25 |
160 | Maine | 53.17 |
161 | UAB | 52.90 |
162 | North Texas | 52.88 |
163 | E Illinois | 52.80 |
164 | Lafayette | 51.83 |
165 | Rhode Island | 51.81 |
166 | Towson | 51.74 |
167 | Montana St | 51.70 |
168 | Idaho | 51.45 |
169 | San Diego | 51.14 |
170 | Southern | 51.13 |
171 | Stony Brook | 50.94 |
172 | Norfolk St | 50.89 |
173 | Coastal Car | 50.86 |
174 | SMU | 50.72 |
175 | Nicholls St | 50.58 |
176 | Jackson St | 50.50 |
177 | Lehigh | 50.15 |
178 | Alabama A&M | 50.14 |
179 | Florida Int. | 49.91 |
180 | Hampton | 49.32 |
181 | Weber St | 49.31 |
182 | Brown | 49.00 |
183 | Prairie View | 48.12 |
184 | Jacksonville St | 48.01 |
185 | Penn | 47.87 |
186 | Gardner Webb | 47.55 |
187 | Texas St | 47.32 |
188 | W Carolina | 47.27 |
189 | Sacramento St | 46.28 |
190 | Portland St | 45.78 |
191 | Cornell | 45.24 |
192 | S Utah | 44.54 |
193 | Princeton | 44.41 |
194 | Dartmouth | 44.37 |
195 | Winston Salem | 44.32 |
196 | NW State | 43.87 |
197 | Tenn Martin | 43.71 |
198 | SE La | 43.17 |
199 | Austin Peay | 42.85 |
200 | Alabama St | 42.37 |
201 | Tenn St | 42.26 |
202 | Idaho St | 42.19 |
203 | Morgan St | 41.79 |
204 | Morehead | 41.52 |
205 | Ark PB | 41.20 |
206 | Drake | 40.25 |
207 | Davidson | 40.00 |
208 | Bethune Cookman | 39.15 |
209 | Charleston S | 38.51 |
210 | Monmouth | 38.50 |
211 | Bucknell | 38.08 |
212 | Tenn Tech | 38.02 |
213 | Cen Conn | 37.34 |
214 | Howard | 37.19 |
215 | Samford | 36.93 |
216 | N Colorado | 36.44 |
217 | Florida A&M | 36.01 |
218 | Iona | 35.78 |
219 | SF Austin | 35.46 |
220 | Wagner | 34.40 |
221 | Alcorn | 34.31 |
222 | SE Missouri | 34.26 |
223 | VMI | 34.06 |
224 | Columbia | 33.23 |
225 | Miss Valley | 32.92 |
226 | Robert Morris | 32.55 |
227 | Duquesne | 32.29 |
228 | Indiana St | 32.24 |
229 | Murray St | 31.83 |
230 | Georgetown | 30.07 |
231 | Valparaiso | 27.85 |
232 | Jacksonville | 26.03 |
233 | NC A&T | 25.67 |
234 | Texas Southern | 25.00 |
235 | St Francis | 24.68 |
236 | Marist | 23.73 |
237 | Sacred Heart | 20.67 |
238 | Butler | 18.30 |
239 | Savannah St | 12.71 |
240 | LaSalle | 1.99 |